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Dec 31, 2012
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obviously states like hawaii, places like virginia that are more dependent on federal spending would get hit harder than other states, sue. so write down the numbers. write down the percentages and see how much any view they come up with brings it down to figure out what the macro economic effects will be and micro economic effects. simon? >> all right, steve. will do. we are still awaiting president obama to see how things are taking shape on parts of the deal for washington. back in two minutes. sfls welcome back to prounch. in just a few moments the president will take to the foed poed yum there to talk about the fiscal cliff negotiations. john, you have outlined what we believe are some of the components of this possible deal. given what you know, which side gave more at this point? >> i think everybody is giving. look, the president wanted, and democrats wanted, having campaigned on it, $250,000 threshold for family income for the return to the clinton jer gentleman tafrm rates of 39.6. republicans didn't want tax increases on anybody. democrats wanted more on estate tax. they a
obviously states like hawaii, places like virginia that are more dependent on federal spending would get hit harder than other states, sue. so write down the numbers. write down the percentages and see how much any view they come up with brings it down to figure out what the macro economic effects will be and micro economic effects. simon? >> all right, steve. will do. we are still awaiting president obama to see how things are taking shape on parts of the deal for washington. back in two...
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Dec 26, 2012
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president obama cutting short his annual vacation in hawaii to deal with the fiscal cliff. no sight of congressional leaders. they're not in town. investors getting a little bit nervous. will congress get it together in time? no talks that we know of are imminent. it was by at least one measure, the weakest holiday retail sales growth since the financial crisis back in 2008, but could a post-christmas holiday sales bounce be around the corner? >>> and what a year it has been for tech. gadgets and gizmos. apple, facebook, microsoft all have big news. will 2013 be a lucky year for the sector? which tech titans might lead the new trends? simon hobbs is in at the new york stock exchange. >> good afternoon. when president obama arrives back in d.c., can he prevent america falling over the fiscal cliff? house republicans haven't yet called their members back to washington. our chief political correspondent, john harwood, is with us. john, this feels very much like it might be the calm before the storm in more way than one. >> it could be if we go over the cliff and the storm woul
president obama cutting short his annual vacation in hawaii to deal with the fiscal cliff. no sight of congressional leaders. they're not in town. investors getting a little bit nervous. will congress get it together in time? no talks that we know of are imminent. it was by at least one measure, the weakest holiday retail sales growth since the financial crisis back in 2008, but could a post-christmas holiday sales bounce be around the corner? >>> and what a year it has been for tech....
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Dec 26, 2012
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the president cutting his vacation short in hawaii. the president plans to leave for washington tonight. congress expected to return on thursday. president, guys, not expected to actually arrive in washington until tomorrow morning. no talks scheduled that we know of as of yet. all the attention's going to turn to the senate, which tends to be more of a compromising body than the house is. >> yes. and the president is available in person if you should want to go over there and visit with him. or perhaps if he wants to visit with anybody else. the consensus seems to be if you get some sort of a deal, it's obviously not going to be the big deal. it will simply be something that extends the tax cuts for the vast majority of americans, at least those earning less than $250,000 a year. the consensus seems to be, carl, that if we don't get a deal by the second or third or fourth week, the super bowl week, we'll start to feel it in the economy. >> we had a notable sell-off. there is typically a bias on christmas eve, but the worst christmas e
the president cutting his vacation short in hawaii. the president plans to leave for washington tonight. congress expected to return on thursday. president, guys, not expected to actually arrive in washington until tomorrow morning. no talks scheduled that we know of as of yet. all the attention's going to turn to the senate, which tends to be more of a compromising body than the house is. >> yes. and the president is available in person if you should want to go over there and visit with...
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Dec 27, 2012
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yes, the president returning early from his hawaii vie cation today. at the top of this hour, expecting any minute on the senate floor that harry reid might come and give us some comment and guidance here on where to expect fiscal cliff talks to go over the next 48 hours or so. we know that the house of representatives will not be in session today but speaker bain he or she conferencing in his colleagues on a phone call this afternoon, all that up against a monday deadline. now we are told by game leadership that they will advise their numbers by saturday if they are going to bring them back into washington for a vote on anything on monday if there is a deal. there you see the united states senate is coming into session is this morning. we are going to keep an eye out for those remarks from senator reid, and of course, remarks on this fiscal cliff debacle have been moving the markets throughout the past couple of weeks, wait and see what harry reid has to say. guys, not a whole lot here to give those guys consumer confidence. >> the essence of poll tak
yes, the president returning early from his hawaii vie cation today. at the top of this hour, expecting any minute on the senate floor that harry reid might come and give us some comment and guidance here on where to expect fiscal cliff talks to go over the next 48 hours or so. we know that the house of representatives will not be in session today but speaker bain he or she conferencing in his colleagues on a phone call this afternoon, all that up against a monday deadline. now we are told by...
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Dec 27, 2012
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he cut short his vacation in hawaii in order to resume talks on the fiscal cliff. we're looking at pictures of him in honolulu as he's boarding air force one. we're looking at whether congress will be back in session in order to reach a deal as the clock ticks towards that year-end deadline. >>> the imf says france should give itself more leeway to meet mission targets. the company's 3% of gdp with more pressing -- than cussing excess from public finances. the imf has warned against more tax hikes warning these could further restrict growth. he says it's built a bit of momentum, but still needs to do more. >> france has to reform. france cannot -- that can avoid reforms. it can be again reforms which might be different. but we need to reform. let me say that from that perspective, the recent decisions going the right direction and i think that the government has understood the need to help companies create jobs. so what is important is that this momentum is there going forward. i mean, the momentum, positive momentum regarding the negotiation between the trade unio
he cut short his vacation in hawaii in order to resume talks on the fiscal cliff. we're looking at pictures of him in honolulu as he's boarding air force one. we're looking at whether congress will be back in session in order to reach a deal as the clock ticks towards that year-end deadline. >>> the imf says france should give itself more leeway to meet mission targets. the company's 3% of gdp with more pressing -- than cussing excess from public finances. the imf has warned against...
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Dec 31, 2012
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but also hawaii, a big percent comes from defense spending. the green is nondefense. ala kass, new mexico, kentucky. so we talk about $620 billion being spread across the economy that will be individual hits to individual states and individual people that will be hit harder if this qulif does take effect. >> some sobering numbers. >>> the phrase that got the most nominations on the list of words to be banished, fiscal cliff. so we want to know what other phrases should be banned and why? tweet us. we have your responses coming up next. [ male announcer ] at scottrade, you won't just find us online, you'll also find us in person, with dedicated support teams at over 500 branches nationwide. so when you call or visit, you can ask for a name you know. because personal service starts with a real person. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our support teams are nearby, ready to help. it's no wonder so many investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. it's no wonder so many investors are saying... i've always kept my eye on her... but wit
but also hawaii, a big percent comes from defense spending. the green is nondefense. ala kass, new mexico, kentucky. so we talk about $620 billion being spread across the economy that will be individual hits to individual states and individual people that will be hit harder if this qulif does take effect. >> some sobering numbers. >>> the phrase that got the most nominations on the list of words to be banished, fiscal cliff. so we want to know what other phrases should be banned...
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Dec 14, 2012
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>> the president is scheduled to go to hawaii a week from today. >> it's boehner and obama. >> there are things, there's a telephone. understand, they have phone service in ohio and hawaii. >> there's an urgency here that dave cody gets. why? because he has said, i'm not hiring until we get this stuff fixed. now, why doesn't that -- well, everybody, the job, small business job creator. come on, man. honeywell hires. that means other towns do great. that means you get into a very virtuous cycle mode. david, it is not about the small businessman. the little businessman doesn't do well unless the big businessman does well. >> who are they selling to? >> honeywell just hired 200 people. >> no doubt about it. >> the opening bell here at the new york stock exchange for a friday. top of the screen, the s&p 500. nasdaq, avago technologies. >> single-family rentals, homes for rent, single-family rentals, that's the way it's sort of getting all that notion, at least today that some people are locked out of credit. they are renters, or renters nation. >> the real estate investment trusts. >> ev
>> the president is scheduled to go to hawaii a week from today. >> it's boehner and obama. >> there are things, there's a telephone. understand, they have phone service in ohio and hawaii. >> there's an urgency here that dave cody gets. why? because he has said, i'm not hiring until we get this stuff fixed. now, why doesn't that -- well, everybody, the job, small business job creator. come on, man. honeywell hires. that means other towns do great. that means you get...
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Dec 10, 2012
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. >> according to the hawaii reporter. >> the other bookmark is his inauguration. you don't want these things to go through the inauguration, either. so, that gives us a very tight window. >> look, politicians have a long track record of kicking the can down the road. they could certainly do it again. but i've characterized this bull market as sort of the rodney dangerfield of bull markets. absolutely no respect. and it just keeps climbing this wall of worry, as the old adage goes. >> talk a little bit about earnings and the things you are covering, health care, financials. >> certainly. >> how do you think earnings are going to shape up for 2013? >> i'm optimistic. we could see $110 for the s&p 500. the multiple right now is about 12 1/2. we get down to 12, 13 seems to be unlucky. we can't seem to break through that. but if we get through this cliff issue, and we will, one way or another, even if we go over the cliff, there will be some resolution afterwards. i think earnings are going to hang in there pretty well. they are only triggered by the global economy and
. >> according to the hawaii reporter. >> the other bookmark is his inauguration. you don't want these things to go through the inauguration, either. so, that gives us a very tight window. >> look, politicians have a long track record of kicking the can down the road. they could certainly do it again. but i've characterized this bull market as sort of the rodney dangerfield of bull markets. absolutely no respect. and it just keeps climbing this wall of worry, as the old adage...
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Dec 10, 2012
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., hawaii and california, they're getting the biggest tax benefit in the $3,000 to $4,000 range. new york and new jersey are also way up there, thanks to high home values and income. and i'm noting them because these two states need home buyers, desperately. they have some of the biggest backlogs of distressed properties and need buyers in there absorbing that distress. taking away the deduction takes away one more reason to buy. $2,000 to $5,000 a year is a big savings. but we have to keep this in perspective. you only get the deduction if you itemize an only about one-third of americans do itemize. just 27% taking the deduction. and i want to note one other thing, older americans, 54% of families ages 55 to 64 are carrying mortgage debt. that's way up from 37% in 1989, because during the housing crash they were unable to move. so that's going to hit them hard as well. especially for the next several years. melissa? >> some very interesting figures. diana, thanks for that report. back at headquarters a quick market flash. >> good morning. take a look at marathon petroleum tradin
., hawaii and california, they're getting the biggest tax benefit in the $3,000 to $4,000 range. new york and new jersey are also way up there, thanks to high home values and income. and i'm noting them because these two states need home buyers, desperately. they have some of the biggest backlogs of distressed properties and need buyers in there absorbing that distress. taking away the deduction takes away one more reason to buy. $2,000 to $5,000 a year is a big savings. but we have to keep...
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Dec 26, 2012
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i think the president coming back from hawaii to show he can't be in hawaii over the holidays while this is hanging over our heads. i don't think anything gets done and i don't think the market cares. >> where do you see evidence e the -- >> we have been sitting at this forever. brent crude at 110. these are high numbers. that's a pretty strong market for one that's about to fall out of bed. you expect them to get something done in the last 18 hours they haven't gotten done in the last 18 months? i can't imagine. >> why does the market not care if you're right? >> why does the market not care? people are saying there are reasons to own the stock market, irrespective of the fiscal cliff and things coming in the wake of sequestration and expiration of tax cuts actually good, things to embrace. let's embrace good things. republicans should like it. a little bit of fiscal responsibility in here and military budgets no party wants to take on, irrespective of parties. a lot to like. maybe they think bernanke can come in and to a certain degree fix with more stimulus policy and buying of assets
i think the president coming back from hawaii to show he can't be in hawaii over the holidays while this is hanging over our heads. i don't think anything gets done and i don't think the market cares. >> where do you see evidence e the -- >> we have been sitting at this forever. brent crude at 110. these are high numbers. that's a pretty strong market for one that's about to fall out of bed. you expect them to get something done in the last 18 hours they haven't gotten done in the...
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. >> some people i've talked to today suggested the mere fact the president is coming back from hawaii early on suggests good tidings. >> well, i think it suggests the president wants to be working on this problem and be seen as working on this problem, but it's only partially up to him. he's got to get the acquiescence of republicans and a temporary extension of tax cuts for people under $250,000. their acquiescence to turn off the sequester to avoid the automatic budget cuts are up to mitch mcconnell in part and also up to john boehner who may be asked before it's over to put on the floor of the house a bill that lacks support of the majority of his own members. that is something that would be a risk on the speaker's part as he faces a re-election by the house of representatives to the speakership in early january, but we'll see whether if it comes to that, whether he's willing to do it. 8. >> john, thank you very much. >>> as we edge ever closer to our impending fiscal doom, we will look more closely how the markets are reacting and what is yet to come. joining us now, michael farr
. >> some people i've talked to today suggested the mere fact the president is coming back from hawaii early on suggests good tidings. >> well, i think it suggests the president wants to be working on this problem and be seen as working on this problem, but it's only partially up to him. he's got to get the acquiescence of republicans and a temporary extension of tax cuts for people under $250,000. their acquiescence to turn off the sequester to avoid the automatic budget cuts are...
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Dec 24, 2012
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the president's playing golf in hawaii. there's nothing going on behind the scenes. >> there's not some -- >> meetings going on in the white house, there's not staff -- >> lining up a putt? >> no, which is difficult, because there's lots of other stuff that has to go into what the president talks about before he left on friday, which is the tax rates. he didn't talk about payroll tax cut, amt, a number of things. there's a lot that has to go into a final deal and how they get that done. >> my worry is we're not talking about early january, we're talking about late january. >> i think it's probably more mid january if we go over. because i think you'll see market reaction, and you'll see a lot of people freak out, and it's a problem. >> market reaction, would you think -- >> people still think it's, you know, we get a deal. last-minute deal. i tend to be an optimist. i've been a cliff diver for the start. the alternative to allowing it to happen is so crazy and so insane and so stupid. >> here's what -- i'm not advising the
the president's playing golf in hawaii. there's nothing going on behind the scenes. >> there's not some -- >> meetings going on in the white house, there's not staff -- >> lining up a putt? >> no, which is difficult, because there's lots of other stuff that has to go into what the president talks about before he left on friday, which is the tax rates. he didn't talk about payroll tax cut, amt, a number of things. there's a lot that has to go into a final deal and how...
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. >> reporter: president obama did cut his vacation short in hawaii. he has arrived back at the white house this morning. the president emerging from marine one. what he's going to work on here in washington is pretty much anybody's guess at this point. the senate came back into session this morning and senate majority leader harry reid took to the senate floor to explain that he thought a $250,000 and above extension of the tax -- bush tax cuts could, in fact, pass and he was extremely, extremely angry in ways that you really hear on the senate floor with the speaker of the house. take a listen. >> it's beings operated with a dictatorship of the speaker not allowing the vast majority of the house of representatives to get what they want. if the 250 would be brought up, it would pass. >> so harry reid there calling house speaker john boehner a dictator for not bringing a bill to the floor that would extend the bush tax cuts for all those who make less than $250,000 a year. now that bill if it was brought to the house floor would have to pass with democ
. >> reporter: president obama did cut his vacation short in hawaii. he has arrived back at the white house this morning. the president emerging from marine one. what he's going to work on here in washington is pretty much anybody's guess at this point. the senate came back into session this morning and senate majority leader harry reid took to the senate floor to explain that he thought a $250,000 and above extension of the tax -- bush tax cuts could, in fact, pass and he was extremely,...
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. >> in the meantime, the president is in hawaii on vacation. washington lawmakers are on holiday. there's still no deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. the deadline is a week away. hampton pearson is in washington on the stalemate. >> as early as the day after christmas, congress and the white house will have to start to deal with what president obama called the real consequences of going over that fiscal cliff. >> nobody can get 100% of what they want. and this is not simply a contest between parties in terms of who looks good and who doesn't. there are real world consequences to what we do here. >> a short-term deal won't just focus on tax rates. the end of the payroll tax cut and the impact of the hike in the minimum tax on january 1st. over the weekend, we did hear from some republican moderates who say it may in fact be time to make some kind of a move. >> the president's statement is right, no one wants taxes to go up on the middle class. i don't want them to go up on anybody. but i'm not in the majority in the united states senate and he's the president of the united states. >>
. >> in the meantime, the president is in hawaii on vacation. washington lawmakers are on holiday. there's still no deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. the deadline is a week away. hampton pearson is in washington on the stalemate. >> as early as the day after christmas, congress and the white house will have to start to deal with what president obama called the real consequences of going over that fiscal cliff. >> nobody can get 100% of what they want. and this is not simply a...